Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.669203 0.785426 0.911320 1.057272 1.221251 1.399224 1.606408
2025-10-12 0.481784 0.642014 0.832769 1.073854 1.367478 1.710467 2.138173
2025-10-19 0.351380 0.527828 0.756937 1.069351 1.476715 1.981960 2.647155
2025-10-26 0.256540 0.432654 0.680806 1.043291 1.545008 2.199733 3.101284
2025-11-02 0.198755 0.373149 0.637725 1.048120 1.645576 2.458628 3.619470
2025-11-09 0.148193 0.310903 0.576893 1.014431 1.682744 2.628373 4.023844
2025-11-16 0.118062 0.274264 0.547281 1.019873 1.771704 2.870484 4.536288
2025-11-23 0.093011 0.239762 0.513951 1.012620 1.837110 3.078904 5.008690
2025-11-30 0.079806 0.224883 0.511506 1.054234 1.979651 3.406884 5.667945
2025-12-07 0.066954 0.207040 0.500040 1.077622 2.092678 3.694457 6.279218
2025-12-14 0.051920 0.179361 0.464203 1.051951 2.120244 3.849033 6.695184
2025-12-21 0.044012 0.166818 0.456603 1.076751 2.234083 4.143823 7.336497
2025-12-28 0.036790 0.154108 0.447217 1.098491 2.346895 4.447577 8.013460
2026-01-04 0.030454 0.141672 0.436275 1.115959 2.453657 4.747872 8.700108
2026-01-11 0.024149 0.126571 0.416004 1.111471 2.519190 4.982319 9.291250
2026-01-18 0.018217 0.109593 0.387229 1.084659 2.539540 5.139828 9.762789
2026-01-25 0.014619 0.099461 0.373911 1.089666 2.620570 5.404795 10.420234
2026-02-01 0.010657 0.085005 0.345059 1.054926 2.619357 5.523810 10.837148
2026-02-08 0.008496 0.077406 0.334132 1.060545 2.698995 5.789300 11.509336
2026-02-15 0.006518 0.069068 0.318775 1.053065 2.750355 6.004981 12.103051
2026-02-22 0.005701 0.067007 0.323264 1.095991 2.910561 6.427038 13.066988
2026-03-01 0.004736 0.063111 0.320644 1.120112 3.031694 6.780913 13.922639
2026-03-08 0.003396 0.054767 0.300006 1.093637 3.040303 6.923048 14.409876